Politics in Malaysia aren’t always that predictable. Even if the online news portals report that there’s a greater swing towards the opposition by voters, I’ll maintain that they aren’t actually the greatest influence (link goes to my article on Helium.com).
However, for the current trends since the 2008 General Elections, you can predict cautiously who’s going to win. The general rule of thumb is that if voter turnout is significantly higher than what it was previously (i.e. from 50% something to 90% as it did in Terengganu), then the seat most likely will go to the opposition (whoever they are).
If the reverse is true, then the seat will go to the incumbent. As always, it is the fence sitters who will make or break the elections.
As English philosopher Edmund Burke said, ‘The only thing necessary for the triumph [of evil] is for good men to do nothing.’
So it remains here.